Tokyo to Manila: buy now or wait?
Your call FareScore 47/100
¥24,365 ≈ €137 Today's best fare
Cheaper than 47% of what we have seen
18 Jan Cebu Pacific Direct
Usually ¥22,765
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All fares Tokyo → Manila
Cheapest first. Every price is live and goes straight to booking.
18 Jan
03:50
Cebu Pacific · 5h 40m
Direct
€137
16 Jan
10:00
Jetstar Japan · 5h 30m
Direct ↓13%
€159 €138
13 Jan
10:00
Jetstar Japan · 5h 30m
Direct
€157
11 Jan
10:00
Jetstar Japan · 5h 30m
Direct
€172
17 Dec
03:10
Scoot · 25h 00m
With a stop
€179
21 Jan
23:05
Japan Airlines · 10h 50m
With a stop
€181
10 Dec
03:10
Scoot · 16h 30m
With a stop
€182
10 Nov
10:00
Jetstar Japan · 5h 30m
Direct
€186
26 Jan
23:05
Japan Airlines · 10h 50m
With a stop
€189
11 Nov
03:55
Peach · 15h 45m
With a stop
€193
9 Nov
21:35
HK Express · 20h 00m
With a stop ↓1%
€201 €198
23 Nov
21:35
HK Express · 14h 20m
With a stop
€199
What the history says
Prices recorded 211
Typical price €128
Lowest we saw €122
Based on 211 prices we recorded on this exact route, compared against the same departure month.
Best booking window
84–180 days — is when this route has been cheapest to book: €123 typical, on 11 observations. That is about €70 less than booking in the last two weeks.
Cheapest months to fly to Manila
January €137 23 observations
September €165 8 observations
October €184 48 observations
Booking tips from our fare data
- How far in advance should you book a flight?
- Book 1–1.5 months before departure. Tracking the same flights at every lead time (97,668 flights on 19,841 routes, 2026-06-14 to 2026-11-05), that window had the smallest average premium over each flight's lowest fare: +16.7%, against +49.3% in the last 3 days.
- What is the cheapest day of the week to fly?
- Wednesday. Comparing each fare with the median of its own route, Wednesday departures were +3.5% and Tuesday +4.3%, while Friday was the dearest at +10.5%. Weekend departures cost more than midweek ones.
- What is the cheapest month to fly?
- November 2026. Comparing each route's fares month by month (booked 8–60 days ahead), November 2026 departures were -1.1% against the route's own median, while January 2027 was the dearest at +22.7%. Covers September 2026, October 2026, November 2026, December 2026, January 2027; fares observed 2026-06-14 to 2026-11-05.
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