Are last-minute flights cheaper?
No. In the last 3 days before departure the same flight cost on average 49.6% more than its cheapest observed fare. Comparing 24,317 flights seen both 3–4 weeks and under a week out, the late fare was higher 67% of the time (median +9.7%).
Piratefly price data, updated 2026-10-31 · 4,928,479 fares observed 2026-06-14 → 2026-10-30 · CC BY 4.0
Average premium over the same flight's lowest observed fare · 81,915 flights
Source: Piratefly flight price research · 4,928,479 fares observed 2026-06-14 → 2026-10-30 · CC BY 4.0
The numbers
- 0–3 days ahead: +49.6% average, +23.5% median over the flight's lowest fare.
- 4–7 days ahead: +42.6% average, +19.6% median.
- Last-minute bargains exist but are the exception: 19.1% of flights were at their lowest fare in the final 3 days.
- The cheapest window is 1–1.5 months ahead (+17.2%).
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Source and method
One-way economy fares observed by Piratefly's price tracker, not booking data or surveys. Full method, all charts and CSV: When to book flights — Piratefly research. Open dataset: doi:10.5281/zenodo.23290390. Please credit "Piratefly" with a link to this page.
Check any route live: Fare Index · Piratefly API · MCP server.
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